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Gold gets interesting

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As readers know, the daily and weekly gyrations in the price of gold (and silver) don’t concern our Maui pawn shop too much. We make our money off commissions, so when gold goes up $25 or down $30, it doesn’t affect us that much.

Where will it go?

Where will it go?

 

But when gold gets near a top or a bottom, then we start paying attention. Today, the Dow-Jones average topped 16,000 for the first time and the S&P topped 1,800 for the first time. As often happens when stocks are up, gold is down, by $17 to about $1,273. That’s near the lowest for the 21st century.

Will it go lower? We have no idea. But here’s a good roundup of differing views from Bloomberg News. Some of the big noises in the Republican Party, like Rep. Paul Ryan, are gold bugs and, the story says, trying to get the Federal Reserve to tie the valuation of the dollar to the commodity price of gold.

Not everybody thinks that is a good idea:

“It’s a stupid idea,” Joseph Gagnon, a former Fed economist, said in an interview. “It’s pretty clear the Fed thinks so, too, since they do the opposite. They go out of their way to exclude commodities.”

It looked different, at least to vice presidential candidate Ryan, in 2010. His prophecy didn’t turn out too well:

To Representative Paul Ryan of Wisconsin, record gold prices in 2010 heralded “a lower standard of living for many Americans.” Representative Ted Poe of Texas foresaw “a blast of inflation that will crush the middle class” adding: “Where gold prices go, other prices follow.” Fellow Texas Representative Ron Paul, a perennial critic of the Federal Reserve, warned that “confidence is being lost in the entire fiat monetary system,” a reference to money created by central banks.

But the price of gold didn’t keep going up, up, up. Instead, it has dropped by a third.

The gold bugs may yet turn out to be right, but not so far.

Who is a pawnbroker?

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As this editorial from the Wheeling Intelligencer demonstrates, pawnshops and other dealers in secondhand goods sometimes have to surmount poorly conceived local regulations.

In most places, including Hawaii, there are separate legal codes for pawnbrokers (whose primary business is lending but who buy and sell used merchandise) and pure secondhand dealers, who do not make loans. In a few places, like Florida, there are more than two sets of regulations, as secondhand dealers are further subdivided.

Not in Moundsville, West Virginia, though.

Pierson took his concerns about the ordinance to council last month. He explained his store is not a pawn shop. He merely buys and resells merchandise. He does not provide loans with items brought into the store held as collateral. Most reasonable people would agree Pierson is not operating a pawn shop.

But city officials have said Pierson is required to fill out pawn cards for any valuable items he buys, then hold the merchandise for 10 days before selling it. Police Chief Tom Mitchell explained requiring documentation and a delay in sale can help his department track stolen goods.

This appears to be nothing more than 1) poorly drafted legislation in a hick town; and 2) casual perhaps biased enforcement.

One of the continuing beefs at our Maui pawn shop is that enforcement of secondhand dealer laws is spotty to non-existent. Kamaaina Loan is registered as both a pawn shop and a secondhand dealer.

Following the two sets of rules is not extra burdensome. The same sorts of recordkeeping are required for both kinds of deals, and the difference is the holding period.

For purchases, our business is required to hold merchandise for 15 days before reselling. Pawned items have to be held 60 days, and if not redeemed by the borrower by then, can be sold.

And since Kamaaina Loan, as a pawn shop, makes daily electronic reports to police, the authorities can monitor both kinds of transactions at the same time. Secondhand dealers are regulated in theory but in practice with swap meets, Internet classified lists and other avenues for disposing of used goods, secondhand dealing is hardly supervised at all.

 

Who do you trust?

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One cool thing about being in the pawn business is that we can (usually) make money on gold whether its price is up or down. That’s because we both buy and sell and depend on the commission for profit, not the fluctuation.

That is not the case with most individuals. Probably most buy gold as jewelry, so the variation in price doesn’t matter much to them anyway. But for those who buy gold as an investment, it certainly makes a difference when to hold ’em and when to fold ’em.

For example, right now the price of an ounce of gold is about $1,314. Goldman Sachs thinks the price will be down close to $1,000 by the end of next year; but there’s an alternative opinion. Bloomberg News describes the views of  Peter Schiff, a well-known gold bug. He thinks gold is going to $2,000, and soon.

So, take your pick, $1,000 or $2,000. The story quotes Ben Bernanke:

“Nobody really understands gold prices and I don’t pretend to really understand them either.”

Neither do we.

We will buy your gold or silver jewelry, coins, ingots, dust any time, for the daily New York spot, minus a small commission. Or we will sell you jewelry, coins or ingots (sorry, gold dust not usually in stock), for the New York spot plus a small commission.

We will beat any other written offer you can find on Maui, too.

A reliable form of Maui gold

A reliable form of Maui gold

 

Annals of dumb crooks

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And a not-too-bright employer, as well.

This story about a minor fiddle (total value to crook: $507.93) leaves us with some questions.

First, why didn’t he throw the pawn tickets away? He was not planning to redeem the computers he stole.

Second, why didn’t the school system have 1) an inventory sticker on its computer; and 2) an inventory check.

If you follow down in the comments, you get this gem:

One time I found a pc on the curb to be picked by the trash collector.

I took it in and found over 12,000 medical files relating to a certain hospital.   Yes the pc belong to a doctor.

If that anecdote is valid (and we have no reason to think it isn’t), then you can see how a pawn shop has some difficulty in confirming that a customer really does own the item he’s pawning.  Our Maui pawn shop requires the customer to state that he is the owner, and as further encouragement to square dealing, to leave his ID, thumbprint, address and phone number with us. (Part of that is required by law.)

But since by definition, all our collateral comes in a second-hand goods (even if sometimes still new and in its shrink wrap), and because items (like computers) can pass from hand to hand, even a sticker label reading “Kanawha County School District” would not necessarily tip us off to suspect a theft. (See comment quoted above.)

What does help is notification of losses. That’s why Kamaaina Loan And Cash For Gold has mystolengoods.com. It’s a unique and free service. If you’ve been ripped off on Maui, file a police report, then post up a description of your lost goods.

We check it every day. It is used more for stolen jewelry than for computers but it could include anything.

Knowing your serial numbers helps, of course, especially with things like computers. But waiting more than a year to notice you’ve been robbed pretty much guarantees that all precautions are going to be unhelpful.

The story does not say whether the school district recovered its computers. Probably not.

 

Crying all the way to the pawn, shop, no doubt

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So many people — 5,000 a day — want to check out the “Pawn Stars” store in Vegas that it’s creating a traffic jam and making it difficult to keep videotaping. Brent Montgomery, creator of the top-rated show, who was in Banff, Alberta, Canada for some reason, said

A long wait

A long wait

:

the popularity of the reality show has brought big changes to the family business on which it is based.

The daily number of customers at the World Famous Gold and Silver Pawn Shop depicted on the show has gone from 70 to 5,000.

“It’s made production hard because we can’t let them all in at one time because it starts to look like a studio show and not a reality show,” Montgomery told the Banff World Media Festival.

“We also have to make sure they’re not in the way. They all want to take pictures.”

At Kamaaina Loan’s Maui pawn shop, we get nervous about customer satisfaction if the line is longer than 2 people. But we are not very famous. Yet.